Slip Sliding: Housing Prices Expected to Drop Even Further
Here is a fact. The nation's real estate market is in its deepest depression in the country's history and it is about to get worse. Newspapers and politicians keep uttering that the economy is improving but one look at the real estate market and you know those are convenient lies. In some cities unemployment continues to increase as home values continue to plummet. There are five housing markets in the United States that are expected to drop by at least 10% in 2012. In these cities the median income is often below the national standard. In these cities unemployment is also above the national average. These cities will not see an improvement in the housing market for many years.
Below is a snapshot of three cities:
1. Riverside-San Bernardino, California
Expected price drop: -15.6%
Median family income: $59,700 (190th highest)
Unemployment rate: 13.7%
Median home price: $181,000 (70th highest)
Projected to hit lowest level: Q1 2012
Like so many industrial cities in California, Riverside-San Bernadino is being affected by the recession and housing crisis more than most other parts of the U.S. Unemployment has hit 13.7%, home vacancy and rental vacancy rates are high, and home values are plummeting. Median home prices are down more than 55% from their peak in 2006. By the beginning of next year, prices are expected to drop an additional 15.6%, or nearly $30,000.
2. Las Vegas, Nevada
Expected price drop: -13.9%
Median family income: $58,900 (196th lowest)
Unemployment rate: 12.4%
Median home price: $140,000 (90th lowest)
Projected to hit lowest level: Q4 2012
Las Vegas was one of the center points of the meteoric growth in the first half of the 2000s, only to be followed by a catastrophic fall in the second half. Between 2008 and 2011, home prices in the city dropped by 42.3%, the second greatest decline in the country. Although home values in the city are already more than 58% off their peak, they are projected by Case-Shiller to drop an additional 13.9% by Q1 2012, and then 6.3% more by Q1 2013.
3. Miami, Florida
Expected price drop: -13%
Median family income: $47,800 (32nd lowest)
Unemployment rate: 13.4%
Median home price: $175,000 (76th highest)
Projected to hit lowest level: Q2 2013
At 13.4%, Miami has one of the highest unemployment rates of any major American city. Home values are above average, but are down by more than 50% since 2006. Partially as a result of the staggering unemployment rate, the value of the city's homes are projected to decrease by another 13% by the first quarter of 2013. What's more disturbing: Prices will then likely fall an additional 10.1%. If this second drop occurs, it will be by far the greatest depreciation of property values in the country in an area already decimated by current low prices.
Below is a snapshot of three cities:
1. Riverside-San Bernardino, California
Expected price drop: -15.6%
Median family income: $59,700 (190th highest)
Unemployment rate: 13.7%
Median home price: $181,000 (70th highest)
Projected to hit lowest level: Q1 2012
Like so many industrial cities in California, Riverside-San Bernadino is being affected by the recession and housing crisis more than most other parts of the U.S. Unemployment has hit 13.7%, home vacancy and rental vacancy rates are high, and home values are plummeting. Median home prices are down more than 55% from their peak in 2006. By the beginning of next year, prices are expected to drop an additional 15.6%, or nearly $30,000.
2. Las Vegas, Nevada
Expected price drop: -13.9%
Median family income: $58,900 (196th lowest)
Unemployment rate: 12.4%
Median home price: $140,000 (90th lowest)
Projected to hit lowest level: Q4 2012
Las Vegas was one of the center points of the meteoric growth in the first half of the 2000s, only to be followed by a catastrophic fall in the second half. Between 2008 and 2011, home prices in the city dropped by 42.3%, the second greatest decline in the country. Although home values in the city are already more than 58% off their peak, they are projected by Case-Shiller to drop an additional 13.9% by Q1 2012, and then 6.3% more by Q1 2013.
3. Miami, Florida
Expected price drop: -13%
Median family income: $47,800 (32nd lowest)
Unemployment rate: 13.4%
Median home price: $175,000 (76th highest)
Projected to hit lowest level: Q2 2013
At 13.4%, Miami has one of the highest unemployment rates of any major American city. Home values are above average, but are down by more than 50% since 2006. Partially as a result of the staggering unemployment rate, the value of the city's homes are projected to decrease by another 13% by the first quarter of 2013. What's more disturbing: Prices will then likely fall an additional 10.1%. If this second drop occurs, it will be by far the greatest depreciation of property values in the country in an area already decimated by current low prices.
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